據(jù)鉆機(jī)地帶4月14日報道，油價連續(xù)第四周上漲，受到全球市場趨緊跡象的支撐，IEA警告稱，油價將進(jìn)一步上漲。

西得克薩斯中質(zhì)油（WTI）收于每桶82美元上方，創(chuàng)下6月以來最長單周漲幅。原油價格徘徊在五個月高點附近，此前歐佩克+宣布計劃每日減產(chǎn)逾100萬桶，令市場感到意外。美國庫存下降、產(chǎn)能大國石油供應(yīng)減弱，以及伊拉克庫爾德地區(qū)石油管道供應(yīng)中斷，都推動了油價上漲。

市場正在消化本周對原油供應(yīng)和需求喜憂參半的預(yù)測。IEA周五在其月度展望報告中表示，歐佩克+最新的減產(chǎn)可能會提振已經(jīng)面臨高通脹的消費(fèi)者的油價。歐佩克此前一天曾預(yù)測，市場將嚴(yán)重供應(yīng)不足。相比之下，EIA預(yù)計2023年和2024年的供大于求。

來自全球最大原油進(jìn)口國的需求也在支撐油價。

關(guān)鍵技術(shù)指標(biāo)也顯示出市場趨緊的信號。按現(xiàn)貨溢價計算，WTI現(xiàn)貨價差(兩份最近合約之間的價差)為每桶9美分。與一個月前16美分的期貨溢價相比，這種看漲模式形成了鮮明的逆轉(zhuǎn)。

價格

在紐約，5月份交割的WTI期貨上漲了36美分，收于每桶82.52美元。

本周早些時候，美國基準(zhǔn)油價觸及每桶83.53美元，為去年11月中旬以來的最高盤中價格。

布倫特原油6月結(jié)算價上漲22美分，收于每桶86.31美元。

壽琳玲 編譯自 鉆機(jī)地帶

原文如下：

Oil Edges Up Posting Fourth Weekly Gain

Oil rose for the fourth straight week, supported by signs of a tightening global market that have the International Energy Agency warning of higher prices ahead.

West Texas Intermediate settled above $82 a barrel, posting its longest run of weekly advances since June. Crude is hovering near five-month highs after OPEC+ surprised the market with plans to cut more than 1 million barrels of daily output. Declining US stockpiles, weaker flows from the largger producer and interruptions to pipeline supplies from Iraqi Kurdistan have added to the gains.

Markets are digesting a week of mixed projections for crude supply and demand. The latest OPEC+ cuts threaten to boost oil prices for consumers already facing high inflation, the IEA said in its monthly outlook on Friday. The cartel had forecast a day earlier that markets would be deeply undersupplied. In contrast, the US Energy Information Administration projected supplies surpassing demand both in 2023 and 2024.

Key technical measures are signaling a tighter market, too. WTI’s prompt spread — the difference between its two nearest contracts — was at 9 cents a barrel in backwardation. The bullish pattern is a stark reversal from when it was trading 16 cents in contango a month ago.

Prices:

WTI for May delivery rose 36 cents to settle at $82.52 a barrel in New York.

Earlier this week, the US benchmark touched $83.53 a barrel, the highest intraday price since mid-November.

Brent for June settlement advanced 22 cents to settle at $86.31 a barrel.