據(jù)彭博新聞社2023年6月6日報道，由于持續(xù)的經(jīng)濟(jì)不確定性給全球需求前景帶來壓力，油價出現(xiàn)下跌，抹去了沙特阿拉伯出人意料地承諾進(jìn)一步減產(chǎn)后油價的短暫上漲。

6月6日，WTI中質(zhì)原油報收于與上周五相同的收盤價，并迅速逆轉(zhuǎn)了沙特阿拉伯上周末宣布減產(chǎn)所帶來的油價漲幅。布倫特原油價格也隨之下跌，僅比上周五每桶高出幾美分。

韓國央行金融證券負(fù)責(zé)交易的高級副總裁丹尼斯·基斯勒表示，沙特阿拉伯的減產(chǎn)“將減少市場上的一些供應(yīng)，但如果我們要看到更高的價格，需求將需要繼續(xù)上升”。

在期貨曲線上，2023年12月和2024年的WTI中質(zhì)原油合約比上周五收盤下跌，這表明交易商并不擔(dān)心長期供應(yīng)。EIA月度《短期能源展望》報告顯示，美國預(yù)計今年國內(nèi)石油需求的增速只有去年的一半。這一下降主要是由于預(yù)計柴油需求將大幅下降。

沙特阿拉伯最近的減產(chǎn)是以向兩個關(guān)鍵盟友讓步為代價的：產(chǎn)能大國沒有承諾進(jìn)一步減產(chǎn)以及阿聯(lián)酋明年獲得了更高的產(chǎn)量配額。

沙特阿拉伯緊隨其后，在同月提高了原油價格。這促使一些亞洲煉油商考慮從其他原油供應(yīng)國購買更多原油。

價格： 

紐約7月交割的WTI中質(zhì)原油期貨價格每桶下跌41美分，報收于每桶71.74美元。

布倫特原油8月結(jié)算價每桶下跌42美分，報收于每桶76.29美元。

李峻 編譯自 油價網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Saudi Cuts Fail to Sustain Rally

Oil fell as persistent economic uncertainty weighs on the outlook for demand, erasing a short-lived surge that followed Saudi Arabia’s surprise pledge to cut more production.

West Texas Intermediate settled Tuesday at the same closing price on Friday, effectively reversing the gain engineered by the Saudis with their weekend announcement. Brent also fell, settling just a few cents above Friday. 

Saudi Arabia’s production cuts “will take some supply off the market, but demand will need to continue to rise if we are to see much higher prices,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial Securities.

Further along the futures curve, WTI for December 2023 and 2024 contracts fell from Friday’s close, evidence that traders aren’t concerned about supplies in the longterm. The US sees domestic oil demand this year growing at half the rate of 2022, according to the Energy Information Administration’s monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook. The drop largely comes due to a projected slump in diesel demand.

The Kingdom’s most recent cut comes at the cost of ceding ground to two key allies: the largger producer, which made no commitment to cut output deeper, and the United Arab Emirates, which secured a higher production quota for 2024.

Saudi Arabia followed its move with an increase to its crude prices for the same month. That’s pushing some Asian refiners to consider buying more crude from other suppliers.

Prices:

WTI for July delivery slipped 41 cents to settle at $71.74 a barrel in New York.

Brent for August settlement declined 42 cents to $76.29 a barrel.